Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.026194 0.028237 0.030290 0.032504 0.034822 0.037175 0.039739
2025-11-30 0.022252 0.025427 0.028735 0.032426 0.036416 0.040586 0.045262
2025-12-07 0.019467 0.023238 0.027273 0.031884 0.036982 0.042417 0.048625
2025-12-14 0.017221 0.021374 0.025924 0.031234 0.037213 0.043695 0.051210
2025-12-21 0.015336 0.019744 0.024681 0.030550 0.037270 0.044661 0.053341
2025-12-28 0.014546 0.019295 0.024708 0.031239 0.038814 0.047238 0.057229
2026-01-04 0.013529 0.018498 0.024263 0.031323 0.039614 0.048934 0.060089
2026-01-11 0.012539 0.017667 0.023719 0.031236 0.040171 0.050315 0.062563
2026-01-18 0.012051 0.017414 0.023836 0.031905 0.041591 0.052675 0.066151
2026-01-25 0.011229 0.016694 0.023344 0.031807 0.042073 0.053924 0.068439
2026-02-01 0.010506 0.016059 0.022921 0.031761 0.042592 0.055195 0.070736
2026-02-08 0.009817 0.015429 0.022472 0.031654 0.043012 0.056332 0.072864
2026-02-15 0.009042 0.014685 0.021897 0.031428 0.043349 0.057451 0.075081
2026-02-22 0.008363 0.014044 0.021438 0.031344 0.043866 0.058805 0.077612
2026-03-01 0.007569 0.013193 0.020662 0.030815 0.043798 0.059426 0.079245
2026-03-08 0.006804 0.012334 0.019832 0.030178 0.043563 0.059817 0.080579
2026-03-15 0.006095 0.011508 0.019005 0.029510 0.043255 0.060094 0.081755
2026-03-22 0.005900 0.011433 0.019199 0.030184 0.044657 0.062483 0.085511
2026-03-29 0.005525 0.011060 0.018962 0.030265 0.045287 0.063908 0.088086
2026-04-05 0.005126 0.010624 0.018614 0.030181 0.045689 0.065039 0.090294
2026-04-12 0.004976 0.010575 0.018810 0.030835 0.047055 0.067384 0.094012
2026-04-19 0.004619 0.010167 0.018472 0.030739 0.047424 0.068465 0.096159
2026-04-26 0.004301 0.009802 0.018181 0.030694 0.047851 0.069613 0.098386